年份总计季平均值2000231.5285.1375.9253.81146.3286.5752001257.8296.3387.4279.21220.7305.1752002245.6287.4384.7283.51201.2300.32003251.8302.6392.1287.61234.1308.5252004241.9312.5405.7278.31238.4309.6同季平均245.72296.78389.16276.48302.0351季度2季度3季度4季度年份季度趋势值趋势季节比率（％）200011107321.233.312577833125822456331.489474137.56092913960933512341.778947149.80442883981644238352.06842167.6004963150106200115127362.35789535.048222170578726571372.647368153.22797056621937641382.936842167.3905275021348251393.22631663.8309263448128200219158403.51578939.1558407679866210629413.805263152.003866553044311660424.094737155.625605003847412293434.38421167.45180715592552003113176444.67368439.5795852665467214654454.963158143.747903242599315686465.252632147.44677481391416305475.54210564.13732803559372004117186485.83157938.2848723837587218680496.121053137.063322830803319725506.410526143.164480658505420324516.762.7056318947165SUMMARYOUTPUT回归统计Multiple0.27429055314RSquare0.07523530754Adjusted0.0238594913标准误差219.266609192观测值20方差分析dfSSMSFSignificanceF回归分析170405.7270405.721.464410940.241882092696507残差18865401.248077.85总计19935807Coefficients标准误差tStatP-valueLower95%Upper95%Intercept310.910526316101.85623.0524450.0068557996.918512913438524.9025XVariabl10.28947368428.5027941.2101280.24188209-7.5742344496744628.15318RESIDUALOUTPUTPROBABILITYOUTPUT观测值残差标准残差百分比排位Y季顺序t销售量y预测Y1321.2-214.2-1.003662.51072331.489473684124.51050.583417.51273341.778947368170.22110.79759312.51584352.068421053-114.068-0.5344817.51765362.357894737-235.358-1.102822.51866372.647368421198.35260.92940727.52387382.936842105258.06321.20918932.52518393.226315789-142.226-0.6664237.52939403.515789474-245.516-1.150442.530510413.805263158215.19471.00832347.532411424.094736842235.90531.10536552.545612434.384210526-141.384-0.6624757.551213444.673684211-268.674-1.2589162.557114454.963157895199.03680.93261367.562915465.252631579220.74741.03434172.564116475.542105263-170.542-0.799...
