2023年第01期·总第343期55【区域经济】国家新型城镇化试点政策对城市绿色发展影响效应的量化评估分析——以安顺市为例范云翼周雨萌（贵州财经大学，贵州贵阳550025）[摘要]新型城镇化是一种有别于过去一味强调城镇人口比重增长、城镇规模迅速扩大，转而更加注重“以人为核心”的绿色发展方式。如今，距离安顺市成功入选第一批国家新型城镇化试点城市名单已经七年有余，为检验新型城镇化试点政策的实施效果，基于全国42个地级市宏观面板数据，以安顺市为研究对象，采用变异系数赋权法对42个城市进行绿色发展综合评价，并综合运用合成控制法评估了新型城镇化试点政策对城市绿色发展的影响效应。结果表明：新型城镇化试点政策对于提高安顺市绿色发展指数具有明显效应,试点效果呈现出由最开始的效果显著而后逐渐趋于平缓的特点。[关键词]新型城镇化试点政策；城市绿色发展；影响效应；合成控制法[中图分类号]F061[文献标识码]A[文章编号]2095-3283(2023)01-0055-06QuantitativeEvaluationandAnalysisoftheImpactofNationalNewUrbanizationPilotPolicyonurbanGreenDevelopment——ACaseStudyofAnshunCityFanYunyiZhouYumeng(GuizhouUniversityofFinanceandeconomics,GuiyangGuizhou550025)Abstract:Newurbanizationisakindofgreendevelopmentmodethatisdifferentfromthepast,whichonlyemphasizesthegrowthofurbanpopulationandtherapidexpansionofurbanscale,andpaysmoreattentionto"people-centered".Now,ithasbeenmorethansevenyearssinceAnshunCitywassuccessfullyselectedintothelistofthefirstbatchofnationalnewurbanizationpilotcities.Inordertotesttheimplementationeffectofthenewurbanizationpilotpolicy,thispaper,basedonthemacropaneldataof42prefecturelevelcitiesinChina,takesAnshunCityastheresearchobject,andusesthevariationcoefficientweightingmethodtocomprehensivelyevaluatethegreendevelopmentof42cities,Thesyntheticcontrolmethodisusedtoevaluatetheimpactofthenewurbanizationpilotpolicyonurbangreendevelopment.Theresultsshowthat:(1)thenewurbanizationpilotpolicyhasanobviouseffectonimprovingthegreendevelopmentindexofAnshunCity;(2)Thepiloteffectshowsthecharacteristicsthattheeffectisremarkableatthebeginningandthengraduallytendstobeflat.KeyWords:NewUrbanizationPilotPolicy;UrbanGreenDevelopment;...
