37Jan.2024JournalofYichunUniversity2024年1月Vol.46,No.1宜春学院学报第46卷第1期劳动力成本上升对物流发展水平影响的时空效应江雨燕，张泽康（安徽工业大学管理科学与工程学院，安徽马鞍山243032)摘要：以长三角城市群26市2004－2020年的面板数据为研究样本，在测算各城市物流发展水平的基础上，借助普通面板模型、动态空间杜宾模型探究劳动力成本对物流业发展的影响。研究表明：长三角城市群物流发展水平整体呈上升趋势，由极化发展逐步转为均衡扩散发展；城市间物流发展水平表现出正向的空间自相关关系，劳动力成本对本地物流发展水平有积极的促进作用，但对邻地产生负向的空间溢出效应，异质性检验发现，发展水平低的城市更易受到劳动力成本的影响。应从物流产业空间布局、产业支持政策及劳动力成本增速等方面助力长三角地区物流业发展。关键词：劳动力成本；物流发展水平；动态空间杜宾模型；空间效应中图分类号：F259.27文献标识码：A文章编号：1671-380X（2024）01-0037-09SpatialandTemporalEffectsofRisingLaborCostonLogisticsIndustryDevelopmentJIANGYu-yan,ZHANGZe-kang(AnhuiUniversityofTechnology,SchoolofManagementScienceandEngineering,Maanshan243032,China)Abstract:Takingthepaneldataof26citiesintheYangtzeRiverDeltacityclusterfrom2004to2020asaresearchsample,onthebasisofmeasuringthelogisticsdevelopmentlevelofeachcity,theimpactoflaborcostonthede-velopmentoflogisticsindustrywasexploredwiththehelpofordinarypanelmodelandDynamicSpatialDubinModel.TheresultsshowthattheoveralllogisticsdevelopmentleveloftheYangtzeRiverDeltaurbanagglomera-tionshowsanupwardtrend,graduallychangingfrompolarizeddevelopmenttobalanceddiffusiondevelop-ment.Thelevelofinter-citylogisticsdevelopmentshowsapositivespatialautocorrelation,laborcosthasaposi-tiveeffectonlocallogisticsdevelopmentlevel,buthasanegativespatialspillovereffectonneighboringareas,andheterogeneitytestingfoundthatcitieswithlowdevelopmentlevelaremoresusceptibletolaborcosts.Thedevelop-mentofthelogisticsindustryintheYangtzeRiverDeltaregionshouldbehelpedfromtheaspectsoflogisticsin-dustryspatiallayout,industrialsupportpoliciesandlaborcostgrowthrate.Keywords:laborcost;logisticsindustrydevelopment;DynamicS...
