农旅融合何以促进小城镇高质量发展———基于全国休闲农业与乡村旅游示范县评选的准自然实验钟漪萍(宜春学院经济与管理学院,江西宜春336000)摘要:基于2005—2020年县级面板数据,采用多期双重差分方法及中介效应模型分析了农旅融合对小城镇高质量发展的影响效应及作用机制。研究表明:(1)示范县显著促进了小城镇高质量发展。(2)示范县对小城镇高质量发展的促进作用随区域经济环境、县离地级市距离、现有小城镇高质量发展水平的不同而呈现异质性。(3)劳动力转移与资本积累在示范县对小城镇高质量发展影响中起部分中介作用。根据实证分析结果,文章从加大示范县的评选力度、各级政府差异化施策、疏通劳动力市场和资本积累的传导机制等三个方面提出政策启示。关键词:农旅融合;示范县;小城镇高质量发展;多期双重差分法;中介效应模型中图分类号:F323.1文献标识码:A文章编号:1671380X(2024)02004111OnIntegrationofAgricultureandTourismPromotionofHighqualityDevelopmentofSmallTowns:aQuasinaturalExperimentBasedonSelectionofNationalLeisureAgricultureandRuralTourismDemonstrationCountiesZHONGYiping(SchoolofEconomicsandManagement,YichunUniversity,Yichun336000,China)Abstract:Basedonthecountypaneldatafrom2005to2020,thepaperanalyzedtheinfluenceeffectsandmecha-nismsoftheintegrationofagricultureandtourismonthehighqualitydevelopmentofsmalltownsbyusingthemultistagedifferencedifferencemethodandthemediationeffectmodel.Theresultsshowthat:(1)Demon-strationcountiessignificantlypromotethehighqualitydevelopmentofsmalltowns.(2)Theroleofdemonstra-tioncountiesinpromotinghighqualitydevelopmentofsmalltownsareheterogeneouswiththeregionaleconomicenvironment,thedistancebetweencountiesandprefecturelevelcities,andthelevelofhighqualitydevelop-mentofexistingsmalltowns.(3)Labortransferandcapitalaccumulationplayapartialmediatingroleintheim-pactofdemonstrationcountiesonthehighqualitydevelopmentofsmalltowns.Accordingtotheresultsofempir-icalanalysis,thepaperputforwardpolicyinspirationfromthreeaspects:increasingtheselectionofdemonstrationcounties,differentiatedpoliciesofgovernmentsatalllevels,dredgingthetransmissionmechanismoflabormar-ketandcapitalaccumulation.Keywords:theinteg...
