高等教育、科技创新和经济发展的耦合协调效应———以安徽省为例曹泽,陶董(安徽建筑大学经济与管理学院,安徽合肥230022)摘要:高等教育—科技创新—经济发展(HTE)耦合协调发展是区域可持续发展的基本要求。运用熵值法、耦合协调模型、核密度估计法及探索性空间分析法,对2010—2021年安徽省16个城市HTE耦合协调度及空间演进特征进行计算分析。结果表明:(1)时序上,安徽省城市HTE耦合协调度总体呈上升趋势,且城市之间差异不断缩小。(2)空间上,2010—2021年,严重失调(Ⅱ级)城市和中度失调(Ⅲ级)均由6个减少为0,勉强协调(Ⅵ级)及以上城市由1个增加到3个,优质协调(Ⅹ级)城市由0增加到1个;(3)安徽省区域整体耦合协调度存在正向空间自相关,位于皖中东部的合肥、马鞍山、滁州,表现为“高—高”聚集,铜陵表现为“低—高”聚集,位于皖南部的黄山表现为“低—低”聚集。关键词:高等教育—科技创新—经济发展系统;耦合协调;核密度估计;时空演化中图分类号:F061.5文献标识码:A文章编号:1671380X(2024)02003407AStudyofCouplingCoordinationofHigherEducation,ScientificandTechnologicalInnovationandEconomicDevelopment:TakingAnhuiProvinceasanExampleCAOZe,TAODong(SchoolofEconomicsandManagement,AnhuiJianzhuUniversity,Hefei230022,China)Abstract:Thecouplingandcoordinateddevelopmentofhighereducationscientificandtechnologicalinnovationeconomicdevelopment(HTE)isthebasicrequirementofregionalsustainabledevelopment.Byusingtheentropymethod,coupledcoordinationmodel,kerneldensityestimationmethodandexploratoryspatialanalysis,thecou-plingcoordinationdegreeandspatialevolutioncharacteristicsofHTEin16citiesinAnhuiProvincefrom2010to2021werecalculatedandanalyzed.Theresultsshowthat:(1)Intermsoftimeseries,thecouplingcoordinationdegreeoftheternarysysteminAnhuiProvinceisgenerallyontherise,andthedifferencebetweencitiesiscon-stantlynarrowing.(2)Spatially,from2010to2021,thenumberofcitieswithseveredisorder(levelII)andmoderatedisorder(levelIII)decreasedfrom6to0,thenumberofcitieswithbarelycoordinated(levelVI)andaboveincreasedfrom1to3,andthenumberofcitieswithhighqualitycoordination(levelⅩ)increasedfrom0to1;(3)TherewasapositivespatialautocorrelationintheoverallcouplingcoordinationdegreeofAnh...
