ISSUE1Feb.2024/JOURNALOFHUMANSETTLEMNTSINWESTCHINA/104空间关联视角下江苏省土地利用冲突与碳排放的互馈机制*MutualfeedbackmechanismoflanduseconflictandcarbonemissionsinJiangsuProvincefromthespatialcorrelationperspective杜敏梁鑫源DUMin,LIANGXinyuanDOI:10.13791/j.cnki.hsfwest.20240115杜敏,梁鑫源.空间关联视角下江苏省土地利用冲突与碳排放的互馈机制[J].西部人居环境学刊,2024,39(1):104-108.DUM,LIANGXY.MutualfeedbackmechanismoflanduseconflictandcarbonemissionsinJiangsuProvincefromthespatialcorrelationperspective[J].JournalofHumanSettlementsinWestChina,2024,39(1):104-108.摘要：明晰区域土地利用结构变化对人为碳排放的影响有助于制定国土空间低碳优化策略。以江苏省为案例研究区，基于1997—2017年长时期土地利用数据与人为活动碳排放量进行空间关联性分析，运用双变量自相关、耦合协调度模型探讨土地利用冲突与人为碳排放的时空格局及其互馈机制。结果表明：（1）受到建设用地增量与地方政策贡献驱动，江苏省碳排放强度以2011年为节点先升后趋于平缓。（2）土地利用冲突与人为碳排放时空演变格局具有负向空间重叠特征，经济发展增速较快的地区相对经济发达地区存在更多潜在的国土空间管理冲突和更少的碳排放增量。（3）江苏省全域土地利用冲突与碳排放关系处于低耦合与拮抗时期，60%以上的区县单元内长期维持着稳定的权衡关系。关键词：空间关联；土地利用冲突；人为碳排放；互馈机制；江苏省Abstract:Inthecontextofglobalwarming,carbonemissionreductionhasbecomeahottopicofglobalconcern.Landusechangesnotonlydirectlyleadtocarbonemissionsfromterrestrialecosystems,butalsoindirectlyaffectanthropogeniccarbonemissions.Therefore,clarifyingtheimpactofregionallandusestructurechangesonanthropogeniccarbonemissionswillhelpformulatelow-carbonoptimizationstrategiesfornationallandspace.TakingJiangsuProvinceasthecasestudyarea,thispaperconductsaspatialcorrelationanalysisbasedonthelong-termlandusedataandanthropogeniccarbonemissionsfrom1997to2017andusesabivariateautocorrelationandcouplingcoordinationdegreemodeltoexplorethemutualfeedbackmechanismbetweenlanduseconflictandanthropogeniccarbonemissions.Theresultsshowthatfrom(1)1997to2017,anthropogeniccarbonemissio...
