2023年1月JournalofGreenScienceandTechnology第25卷第2期收稿日期:2022-12-19基金项目:贵州省气象局科研业务项目(编号:黔气科登[2022]01-06号)作者简介:任青峰(1989-),男,工程师,主要从事综合气象研究工作。赤水市金钗石斛高温干旱气象保险指数研究任青峰1,姚熠2,敖芹2,黄富林1,谢辉钰1(1.贵州省赤水市气象局,贵州赤水564700;2.遵义市气象局,贵州遵义563000)摘要:通过研究表明赤水市金钗石斛在夏季遭受到高温干旱灾害的影响较大,对赤水市金钗石斛受高温干旱与气象因子开展了相关性分析,结果表明:赤水市金钗石斛高温干旱的损失与夏季≥37℃日数相关性最大,建立≥37℃日数与石斛损失率模型,其中式中R2的值为0.999,呈显著相关。当最高气温≥37℃日数小于9d时,高温因子与石斛损失率率负相关,最高气温≥37℃日数≥9d时,高温因子与石斛损失率率正相关,因此以最高气温≥37℃日数≥9d为起赔点,保险纯费率根据石斛种植海拔的不同在2.0%~10.5%之间。关键词:金钗石斛;高温干旱;保险指数;赤水市中图分类号:F326文献标识码:A文章编号:1674-9944(2023)02-0036-05StudyonMeteorologicalInsuranceIndexofDendrobiumnobileUnderHighTemperatureandDroughtinChishuiCityRenQingfeng1,YaoYi2,AoQin2,HuangFulin1,XieHuiyu1(1.MeteorologicalBureauofChishuiCity,Chishui,Guizhou564700,China;2.ZunyiMeteorologicalBureau,Zunyi,Guizhou563000,China)Abstract:TheresearchshowsthatDendrobiumnobileinChishuiCityhasbeengreatlyaffectedbyhightem-peratureanddroughtdisastersinsummer.ThecorrelationanalysisofDendrobiumnobileinChishuiCityaf-fectedbyhightemperatureanddroughtandmeteorologicalfactorsshowsthatthelossofDendrobiumnobileinChishuiCityismostrelatedtothenumberofdays≥37℃insummer,andthemodelofthenumberofdays≥37℃andthelossrateofDendrobiumnobileisestablished,inwhichthevalueofR2is0.999,whichissignificantlyrelated.Whenthemaximumtemperature≥37℃daysislessthan9days,thehightempera-turefactorisnegativelycorrelatedwiththelossrateofDendrobiumnobile.Whenthemaximumtemperature≥37℃daysismorethan9days,thehightemperaturefactorispositivelycorrelatedwiththelossrateofDendrobiumnobile.Therefore,themaximumtemperature≥37℃anddays≥9daysisthestartingpointofcompensation,andthenetinsurancerateisbetween2.6%and10...
