第26卷第4期2023年文章编号2095-0020(2023)04-0203-06上海电机学院学报JOURNALOFSHANGHAIDIANJIUNIVERSITYVol.26No.42023计及不确定性的区域综合能源系统储能容量优化配置李兰馨，王宇露（上海电机学院商学院，上海201306)摘要针对风光出力的不确定性，提出了一种计及不确定性的区域综合能源系统(IES)功率优化配置方法。首先，建立以0－1规划模型为基础，投资运行成本最低为目标函数的IES储能功率规划模型；其次，基于场景分析法确定最优规划方案，采用场景分析法中的两阶段规划策略求解多能源容量配置问题。最后，以某工业园区IES为研究对象，基于Matlab平台搭建仿真实验，实验结果表明：IES协调优化调度能够确保IES运行经济性，还能有效地减小不确定性对系统实际运行造成的冲击，缓解电网平抑功率波动的负担。关键词不确定性；储能容量规划；场景分析法；区域综合能源系统(IES)中图分类号TK01Optimizationofenergystoragecapacityallocationinregionalintegratedenergysystemconsideringuncertainty文献标志码ALILancin,WANGYulu(SchoolofBusiness,ShanghaiDianjiUniversity,Shanghai201306,China)AbstractTosolvetheuncertaintyproblemofwind-poweroutput,apoweroptimizationallocationmethodforaregionalintegratedenergysystemisproposed.Firstly,anintegratedenergysystems(IES)energystoragepowerplanningmodelisestablishedbasedonaO-1planningmodelwiththelowestinvestmentandoperatingcostastheobjectivefunction.Secondly,theoptimalplanningschemeisdeterminedbasedonthescenarioanalysismethod,andthetwo-stageplanningstrategyinthescenarioanalysismethodisusedtosolvethemulti-energycapacityallocationproblem.Finally,takingIESinanindustrialparkastheresearchobject,simulationexperimentswerebuiltbasedontheMatlabplatform.TheexperimentalresultsshowthatIEScoordinatedoptimizationschedulingcannotonlyensuretheeconomyofIESoperation,butalsoeffectivelyreducetheimpactofuncertaintiesontheactualoperationofthesystem,andalleviatetheburdenofthepowergridtosuppresspowerfluctuations.Keywordsuncertainty;energystoragecapacityplanning;scenarioanalysismethod;regionalintegratedenergysystems(IES)收稿日期：2023-05-26基金项目：国家自然科学基金资助项目（71972050）作者简介：李兰馨（2000—），女，硕士生，...
