当代体育科技(ContemporarySportsTechnology)2023年(第13卷)第9期探索与争鸣世界冰球竞技格局与发展趋势研究田乃元(北京体育大学中国冰上运动学院北京100084)摘要：该文采用文献资料、专家访谈、帕累托分析等方法，围绕第20~24届冬奥会冰球项目呈现出的竞技格局及发展趋势展开分析，力求为我国冰球寻求成绩突破提供参考和借鉴。研究得出的主要结论包括：男冰竞技格局发展较为均衡，女冰略显局限；加拿大呈现“一家独大”态势；北美国家持有垄断势力，欧洲具有集群优势，亚洲明显落后于欧美国家。世界冰球的发展趋势主要包括：集团特征日渐明晰，突显“强者恒强”；男冰竞争异常激烈，女冰大局趋于稳定；欧美实力强硬依旧，亚洲处境愈显艰难。关键词：冰球冬奥会竞技格局发展趋势中图分类号：G862文献标识码：A文章编号：2095-2813(2023)09-0136-05ResearchontheCompetitivePatternandDevelopmentTrendofWorldIceHockeyTIANNaiyuan(ChinaIceSportsCollegeofBeijingSportUniversity,Beijing,100084China)Abstract:Usingliterature,expertinterviews,Paretoanalysisandothermethods,thispaperanalyzesthecompetitionpatternanddevelopmenttrendpresentedintheicehockeyeventinthe20thto24thWinterOlympicstoprovidereferenceforChina'sicehockeytoseekbreakthrough.Themainconclusionsoftheresearchinclude:Thedevelopmentofmen'sicehockeywasrelativelybalanced,whilewomen'sicehockeywasslightlylimited,Canadapresentedatrendof"monopoly",andNorthAmericancountriesheldmonopolypower,EuropehadclusteradvantageandAsialaggedsignificantlybehindEuropeanandAmericancountries.Thedevelopmenttrendsofworldicehockeyinclude:Thecharacteristicofthegroupisincreasinglyclearandhighlights"thestrongwillalwaysbestrong",thecompetitionofmen'sicehockeyisextremelyfierceandtheoverallsituationofwomen'sicehockeytendstobestable,andthestrengthofEuropeandAmericaremainsstrong,whileAsiaisintheincreasinglydifficultsituation.KeyWords:Icehockey;WinterOlympics;Competitivepattern;Developmenttrend作为冬季运动的最高竞技舞台，冬奥会的成绩可以比较全面地反映一个国家冬季项目的竞技水平［1］。自1924年夏慕尼冬奥会至2022年北京冬奥会的精彩落幕，已经跨越了近一个世纪，冰球是冬奥会中唯一的球类大项，从始至终都扮演着极为重要的角色，...
