体育PPP项目落地时长：特征事实与影响因素——来自76个体育PPP项目的经验证据TheLandingTimeofSportsPPPProject：CharacteristicFactsandInfluencingFactors—EmpiricalEvidencefrom76SportsPPPProjects贺新家1，潘磊2*HEXinjia1，PANLei2*摘要：采用实证研究法，以财政部政府和社会资本合作中心项目管理库中76个已落地的体育PPP项目为研究对象，分析体育PPP项目落地时长及其影响因素。研究表明：1）具有适宜投资额和合作期限、采用具有运营阶段运作方式和政府付费机制的体育PPP项目落地相对较快；2）体育PPP项目在1～3年的落地概率分别为32.50%、57.01%和73.53%；3）项目运作方式、区域人口规模、区域经济开放水平、区域财政资源状况等因素对体育PPP项目落地时长有显著负向影响，区域城镇化水平对体育PPP项目落地时长有显著正向影响，不同区域体育PPP项目落地时长的影响因素有差异。建议：从体育PPP项目内部因素和区域经济发展等方面加快推进项目落地，项目推广应用应由注重规模总量向质量效益转变。关键词：体育PPP项目；落地时长；落地概率；运作方式Abstract:Basedon76sportsPPPprojectsthathavebeenimplementedinthemanagementdata‐baseofChinaPublicPrivatePartnershipsCenter,thisstudyempiricallyanalyzesthecharacteris‐ticfactsandtheinfluencingfactorsofthelandingtimeofsportsPPPprojects.Theresultsshowthat:1)SportsPPPprojectswithappropriateinvestmentamountandcooperationperiod,opera‐tionmodeinoperationstageandgovernmentpaymentmechanismarerelativelydevelopmentfastinimplementation;2)thelandingprobabilityofsportsPPPprojectsare32.50%,57.01%and73.53%respectivelyin1to3years;3)projectoperationmode,regionalpopulationscale,regionaleconomicopening-uplevelandregionalfinancialresourceshaveasignificantnegativeimpactonthelandingtimeofsportsPPPproject,regionalurbanizationlevelhasasignificantpositiveimpactonit,andtheinfluencingfactorsofsportsPPPproject’slandingtimeindiffer‐entregionsaredifferent.Thestudysuggeststhat:TheimplementationofsportsPPPprojectshouldbeacceleratedfromtheinternalfactorsoftheprojectandregionaleconomicandsocialdevelopment,andthefocusonthepromotionandapplicationofsportsPPPprojectshouldtrans‐formfromtotalscaletoqualityandefficiency.Keywords:sp...
