铁道运输与经济RAILWAYTRANSPORTANDECONOMY第45卷第09期“一日一图”目标下高速铁路列车运力供给与市场需求适配质量评价研究QualityEvaluationofHighSpeedRailwayTrainCapacitySupplyandMarketDemandMatchingUndertheGoalof“OneDayOneTrainWorkingDiagram”周姗琪ZHOUShanqi（中国铁道科学研究院集团有限公司电子计算技术研究所，北京100081）(InstituteofComputingTechnologies,ChinaAcademyofRailwaySciencesCorporationLimited,Beijing100081,China)摘要：为优化“一日一图”目标下的高速铁路列车能力与客流需求间的匹配程度，提高运营管理质量，从运营管理角度出发分析“一日一图”下高速铁路列车运营管理的核心目标，并引入复合型评价指标，从列车能力运用效率的稳定性、能力投放收益转化的高效性以及出行质量保障性等3个方面，构建高速铁路列车运力供给与出行需求适配目标评价体系，并基于集对层次分析方法设计适配质量综合量化评价模型。通过案例分析，验证模型可以有效量化评估高速铁路列车“一日一图”目标下的能力供给与市场需求二者间的适配质量，正向反馈运力投放的市场认可度和接受度，有助于优化运行图的周期编制，提高运输服务供给质量，增强铁路运输的市场竞争力和自身经济效益。关键词：“一日一图”；高速铁路列车；运营管理；集对层次分析；运力供给；客流需求Abstract:Tooptimizethematchingdegreebetweenhighspeedrailwaytraincapacityandpassengerflowdemandunderthegoalof“onedayonetrainworkingdiagram”andimprovethequalityofoperationmanagement,thecoreobjectivesofhighspeedrailwaytrainoperationmanagementunderthegoalof“onedayonetrainworkingdiagram”wereanalyzedfromtheperspectiveofoperationandmanagement,andcompositeevaluationindexeswereintroduced.Theevaluationsystemofhighspeedrailwaytraincapacitysupplyandtraveldemandmatchingwasconstructedfromthreeaspects:thestabilityoftraincapacityutilizationefficiency,theefficiencyofcapacitydeliveryrevenuetransformationandtheguaranteeoftravelquality.Acomprehensivequantitativeevaluationmodelofadaptationqualitywasdesignedbasedonsetpairanalysisandanalytichierarchyprocess.Throughcaseanalysis,theresultsshowthatthemodelcaneffectivelyquantifyandevaluatethematchingqualitybetweencapacitysupplyandmarketdemandunderthegoalof“o...
