2023⁃03⁃10计算机应用,JournalofComputerApplications2023,43(3):978-985ISSN1001⁃9081CODENJYIIDUhttp：//www.joca.cn韧性视角下基于随机演变的城市应急医疗物资配置模型李智楠，刘勤明*，陆昊洋（上海理工大学管理学院，上海200093）（∗通信作者电子邮箱lqm0531@163.com）摘要：针对城市辖区卫生系统韧性差异和应急医疗物资需求随机演变的情况，提出基于韧性评估的应急医疗物资多阶段动态配置模型。首先，结合熵值法和K-means算法，建立辖区卫生系统韧性评估体系及分类方法；其次，将需求状态的随机演变特性设计成Markov过程，并运用三角模糊数处理模糊性需求，从而建立应急医疗物资多阶段动态配置模型；最后，采用二进制人工蜂群（ABC）算法求解所提模型，并通过实际算例分析并验证所提模型的有效性。实验结果表明，所提模型能够实现物资的动态配置，从而使需求变化趋于平稳，并且能够优先配置韧性薄弱的辖区，体现了应急管理要求的公平性和时效性。关键词：人工蜂群算法；Markov过程；突发公共卫生事件；韧性评估；应急物资配置中图分类号：TP399文献标志码：AAllocationmodelofurbanemergencymedicalsuppliesbasedonrandomevolutionfromperspectiveofresilienceLIZhinan，LIUQinming*，LUHaoyang（BusinessSchool，UniversityofShanghaiforScienceandTechnology，Shanghai200093，China）Abstract:Aimingatthedifferenceofhealthsystemresilienceinurbanareasandtherandomevolutionofdemandforemergencymedicalsupplies，amulti-stagedynamicallocationmodelforemergencymedicalsuppliesbasedonresilienceassessmentwasproposed.Firstly，combinedwiththeentropymethodandtheK-meansalgorithm，theresilienceassessmentsystemandclassificationmethodofarea’shealthsystemwereestablished.Secondly，therandomevolutioncharacteristicofdemandstatewasdesignedasaMarkovprocess，andtriangularfuzzynumberswereusedtodealwiththefuzzydemand，therebyconstructingamulti-stagedynamicallocationmodelofemergencymedicalsupplies.Finally，theproposedmodelwassolvedbythebinaryArtificialBeeColony（ABC）algorithm，andtheeffectivenessofthemodelwasanalyzedandverifiedbyanactualexample.Experimentalresultsshowthattheproposedmodelcanrealizethedynamicallocationofsuppliestostabilizethedemandchangesandprioritizetheallocation...
