收稿日期:2021-08-12修回日期:2021-10-21作者简介:张会(1971-),女,山东宁阳人,博士。研究方向:潜艇作战决策技术和潜艇作战软件。摘要:搜索者发现目标后能否占领攻击阵位取决于搜索者发现目标时的态势和攻击所需条件。可占位攻击概率计算需充分考虑搜索者的搜索行动条件和搜索方法。以潜艇往返拦截搜索为例,通过理论分析确定出目标舷角搜索效率函数,结合潜艇占领攻击阵位条件给出可攻击概率的积分表达式,进一步推导得到可攻击概率计算公式,并使用仿真算法验证了所给公式的正确性。关键词:往返拦截搜索;可攻击概率;搜索效率;微元法;正确性验证中图分类号:E925.66文献标识码:ADOI:10.3969/j.issn.1002-0640.2022.11.008引用格式:张会,程健,王永洁.基于舷角搜索效率分析的可攻击概率计算方法[J].火力与指挥控制,2022,47(11):42-47.基于舷角搜索效率分析的可攻击概率计算方法张会,程健,王永洁(海军潜艇学院,山东青岛266199)AttackableProbabilityCalculationMethodBasedontheRelativeBearingSearchEfficiencyAnalysisZHANGHui,CHENGJian,WANGYongjie(NavySubmarineAcademy,Qingdao266199,China)Abstract:Whetherthesearchercanoccupytheattackpositionafterfindingthetargetdependsonthesituationwhenthesearcherfindsthetargetandtheconditionsrequiredforattack.Theconditionsandmethodsofthesearchactionneedtobefullyconsideredduringcalculateionofattackpositionoccupationprobability.Theround-tripinterceptionandsearchofsubmarinesistakenasanexample,theefficiencyfunctionoftherelativebearingsearchoftargetsisdeterminedthroughthetheoreticalanalysis.Theintegralexpressionoftheattackprobabilityisgivenincombinationwiththeconditionsofthesubmarineoccupyingtheattackposition.Thecalculationformulaoftheattackprobabilityisfurtherderived,andthecorrectnessofthegivenformulaisverifiedbythesimulationalgorithm.Keywords:round-tripinterceptionsearch;attackprobability;searchefficiency;infinitesimalmethod;verificationofcorrectnessCitationformat:ZHANGH,CHENGJ,WANGYJ.Attackableprobabilitycalculationmethodbasedontherelativebearingsearchefficiencyanalysis[J].FireControl&CommandControl,2022,47(11):42-47.0引言潜艇对目标实施鱼雷攻击需要先占领...